Skip to content

Strategic & Emerging Risks

From false precision to real understanding

Simon works with boards and executive teams to identify, understand and respond to the risks that will shape their organisation over future years (and even decades)

Although most boards and executive teams are we versed at managing operational risk, strategic and emerging risks need to be treated different. The lack of clarity around probability and impact means emerging risks don’t always fit within classic risk management frameworks and can be easily overlooked. This has the potential to create blind spots with organisation shaping consequences.

The risk management challenge for boards

Boards are often expected to review extensive risk registers dominated by operational issues. Although important these risks can often be controlled, mitigated or effectively delegated. At the same time, emerging risks are often missed as they are yet to be identified or not sufficiently well understood. This leads to

  • Too many risks competing for the board’s attention
  • False confidence created by ratings and heat maps
  • A focus on controlling rather than navigating risks
  • Missed strategic opportunities

 

A different approach: identify, prioritise and decide

Strategic and emerging risks are not problems to be “managed away”. They are changes to be identified and choices to be navigated. Simon’s approach work shifts the board conversation away from false precision and towards collective understanding and judgement.

Rather than asking boards to quantify what cannot yet be known, Simon helps leaders

  • Identify emerging and strategic risks earlier
  • Prioritise what really matters at an organisation-shaping level
  • Decide what kind of response is required

 

How Simon works with boards and executive teams

I work directly with boards and executive teams (and often both together). These facilitated sessions use a combination of strategic foresight tools to collate perspectives, map key risks and enable decision-focused discussion. These sessions often surface a productive tension between the comfort of quantifying and managing risk and the far more difficult challenge of making strategic decisions in uncertainty.

The outcome of these sessions is

  • Focusing the board’s attention on the few risks that truly matter
  • Enabling productive disagreement without confrontation
  • Developing a clear course of action around key risk
  • Strengthening the board’s ability to make judgement when certainty isn’t available

 

The long term impact is a board with clearer strategic intent, proactive response, and a reduced risk profile.

Some of the brands Simon has inspired

Simon’s client base includes a range or public, private and purpose driven organisations.

Workshops

The Futurist's Toolkit

The Futurist’s Toolkit introduces the practical tools, techniques, and mindsets to help leaders prepare for what’s coming next. Drawing on nearly two decades of work as a business futurist, Simon demystifies how futurists approach uncertainty. He helps leaders strengthen strategic foresight, identify emerging opportunities, and build adaptive capacity within their organisations.

Leading In Uncertainty

Combining compelling storytelling with practical inquiry Leading in Uncertainty draws on Simon’s experience of the 2004 Sydney to Hobart Yacht Race. In a race where only half the fleet made it to the finish line, the story provides deep insights into leadership and teamwork in the face of literal headwinds and a perfect storm of uncertainty.

How Better Decisions Get Made

How Better Decisions Get Made shows how leaders can make better decisions in complex, uncertain environments. It explores how sound judgement, clear process, and productive disagreement each contribute to effective decision-making. Participants gain practical approaches for counteracting bias, navigating disagreement, and making confident decisions when the way forward isn’t clear.

Choosing Tomorrow

Choosing Tomorrow is an immersive scenario workshop that helps leadership teams safely explore difficult and often divisive questions. Using the power of future scenarios, participants step into one of several possible futures to tackle complex issues like data privacy, business ethics and the impact of AI on the workplace. Along the way, they surface assumptions, build strategic awareness, and create a safe space for more informed, future-ready conversations.

Looking for a keynote instead?

Simon delivers engaging, thought-provoking keynotes on future thinking, decision-making, AI, and the human-tech relationship. His ‘practical futurism’ approach helps organisations sharpen strategic thinking and navigate uncertainty with confidence.

Enquiry form

If you’d like to find out more about The Power of Being Strategic Workshop for in house delivery, or want to know about upcoming public workshop dates, fill out the form below or call 1300 66 55 85  (within Australia).

Work With Simon

If you’re considering engaging Simon please reach out to book a to chat. You can do this by filling out the form below, contacting Sarah at 1300 66 55 85 (within Australia), or emailing her at sa***@*************om.au. If it’s for a speaking engagement please provide the event date and any information that might be helpful.

SUBSCRIBE TO THE FUTURE

Rather than find my posts by chance, you can have them conveniently delivered to your inbox*.

* And it goes without saying that we will never spam you or share your details

THE SCENARIO PLANNING GUIDE

How scenario planning can be used to align thinking, stimulate ideas and overcome the inertia of uncertainty.

subscribe to the future

Practical, inspiring, and straight to your inbox.